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Channel: Michael D. Swaine, Author at Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft
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A New Direction: A Foreign Policy Playbook on Military Restraint for the...

Two decades of endless war and a bloated Pentagon budget that has proven useless in preventing Covid–19 deaths, now 270,000 and counting, are a jarring reminder that America’s foreign policy is...

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Toward an Inclusive & Balanced Regional Order: A New U.S. Strategy in East Asia

The United States must foster an inclusive, stable order in East Asia that is designed to manage shared challenges such as climate change and pandemics, promote broad prosperity, and peacefully resolve...

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Threat Inflation and the Chinese Military

The United States is not going to build its way out of the current deepening military competition with China, nor develop a successful long-term China strategy based on inflated threats. It will need...

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Ending the Destructive Sino-U.S. Interaction Over Taiwan: A Call for Mutual...

Absent a sober recognition of the vital need for trust-building through credible mutual assurances, the United States and China could be on the path toward a major diplomatic crisis or military...

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The Worsening Taiwan Imbroglio: An Urgent Need for Effective Crisis Management

This brief affirms the need to improve crisis management on the Taiwan issue, outlines the major problems and limits of existing crisis management efforts, and offers concrete recommendations for...

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A Restraint Recipe for America’s Asian Alliances and Security Partnerships

This brief analyzes the utility of America’s Asian alliances and security partnerships from a Restraint perspective under two scenarios. The first and preferred scenario is that of the United States...

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A Restraint Approach to U.S.–China Relations: Reversing the Slide Toward...

A responsible U.S. restraint approach to relations with China represents the least dangerous, most potentially beneficial and mutually productive strategy compared to any of the alternatives, including...

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Paths to Crisis and Conflict Over Taiwan

This report sheds new light on how the political and social dynamics fueling mutual hostility between Beijing and Washington could play a much more decisive role in a future crisis over Taiwan than...

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Stabilizing the Growing Taiwan Crisis: New Messaging and Understandings are...

The recent improvements to the Sino–American relationship shouldn’t go to waste. The United States and China should go beyond the mere appearance of stabilization and revitalize the original...

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